Monday, November 2, 2009

5A Scenario's

Without getting to techincal here is how the 5A play-off race is coming down.

5A-1
1st - El Reno or Duncan - whoever wins this week 10 game in El Reno
2nd - Duncan or El Reno - whoever losses this week 10 game in El Reno
3rd - Lawton Mac/Altus/Deer Creek
4th - Lawton Mac/Altus/Deer Creek

Scenario: Duncan-El Reno winner is first, loser is second. Lawton Mac is third with a win, fourth wtih a loss and Altus loss. Altus is no worse than fourth with a win by six points and could finish third on a tiebreaker with a Deer Creek win. Deer Creek is third with a win and Altus loss, but can't reach the playoffs with a win and Altus win by six or more.

**I am predicting Mac to win over Deer Creek and Altus over Chickasha for Mac to finish third and Altus to finish 4th.

5A-2
1st - Shawnee
2nd - Carl Albert
3rd - Guthrie
4th - Ardmore or Durant - whoever wins this week 10 game in Ardmore

** I am predicting Ardmore to defeat Durant for the fourth spot.

5A-3
1st - T. Kelley
2nd - Bixby
3rd - T. Hale or Pryor - whoever wins this week 10 game in Tulsa
4th - T. Hale or Pryor - whoever wins this week 10 game in Tulsa

** I am predicting T. Hale over Pryor to finish 3rd and Pryor to finish 4th.

5A-4
1st - T. East Central
2nd - McAlester/Ada
3rd - McAlester/Ada/T. Central
4th - McAlester/Ada/T. Central/Stilwell

Scenario: Tulsa East Central is first. McAlester is second with a win, but could fall as low at fourth on tiebreaker with a loss. Ada is second with a win, third with a win and Tulsa Central or fourth with a loss and Tulsa Central win. Tulsa Central is no worse than fourth with a win, but out with a loss and Ada win. Stilwell can only reach playoffs with win coupled with Ada win.

**I am predicting McAlester to win over Ada and T. Central to beat Stilwell to put McAlester second, T. Central third, and Ada fourth.

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